This Is What I Think.
Wednesday, May 25, 2016
Shrieking Monkeys don't care about anything but a gas pedal.
Could not one argue that could indeed be an indication of global warming?
If climate disruption is about the imbalance of the natural forces of this planet Earth then would not one expect to see pools of imbalance?
http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2016/05/stevens-pass-melt-out.html
Cliff Mass Weather Blog
Wednesday, May 25, 2016 Posted by Cliff Mass at 6:36 AM
Steven's Pass Melt Out
On Saturday, Steven's Pass had its "melt out", which is defined as the first day of the summer when less than two inches of snow water equivalent (SWE) was left on the ground.
It was the 8th earliest melt out in the last 36 years. The average melt-out date the last 35 year is June 2, so it is about 1.5 weeks early. Folks care about the melt out date because it is an integrated measure of the depth of the snow pack and the degree of spring warmth, and both of those are expected to be influenced by global warming. Increased levels of CO2 should result in warming that will result in less build up of mountain snowpack in the winter and a quicker melting in the spring of what snow does accumulate.
Last year (2015) was a profound example of warming causing a reduction in snowpack and a very early melt off date (the earliest on record!). Some folks are saying that there is trend towards poorer snowpacks and earlier melt-outs, and that that this is an indication that we are already experienced human-caused global warming. But is it true?
Mark Albright, past Washington State climatologist, has plotted up the Steven's Pass melt-dates from 1981-2015 (see below). The annual melt-out dates are shown by the blue dots, the mean over the period by the horizontal gray line, and the 5-year running mean by the purple line. There is no evidence of a long-term trend for earlier melt-out dates. In fact, just the opposite....melt out dates are trending later (which implies cooling or greater snowpacks or both). Last year (2015) was an outlier, although two other years came close.
So there doesn't appear to be any global warming signal producing earlier snow melt offs in our region.
To drive this point home further, here are the mean melt-out dates for recent decades (again, thanks to Mark Albright). It appears that the melt-out dates are getting progressively later, just the OPPOSITE of what we would expect global warming would do.
JOURNAL ARCHIVE: 01/12/07 10:33 AM
I still haven't had any new thoughts about those memories of Stampede Pass I was writing about. I thought that was some kind of door that was going to open to turn the Thomas Ray memories into conventional memories. The intriguing component about Stampede Pass is that I can' remember what I was driving when I went up there. There's no way I would have driven my blue Mazda RX-7 up there on those gravel roads and I am quite certain I never drove my Jeep Wrangler up there. I certainly would not have driven that Buick car up there, which was the car I had when I moved out here and I just started thinking again about that car yesterday. So the mystery remains: how did I get up there?
[JOURNAL ARCHIVE 12 January 2007 excerpt ends]
- posted by H.V.O.M - Kerry Wayne Burgess 7:35 PM Pacific Time Spokane Valley Washington USA Wednesday 25 May 2016