This Is What I Think.

Friday, November 22, 2019

"God's Work" Circle of Jerks, on the tv news, they'll never read here the truth!



https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Confirmation_bias

Confirmation bias

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Confirmation bias, also called confirmatory bias or myside bias, is the tendency to search for, interpret, favor, and recall information in a way that confirms one's preexisting beliefs or hypotheses, while giving disproportionately less consideration to alternative possibilities. It is a type of cognitive bias and a systematic error of inductive reasoning. People display this bias when they gather or remember information selectively, or when they interpret it in a biased way. The effect is stronger for emotionally charged issues and for deeply entrenched beliefs. People also tend to interpret ambiguous evidence as supporting their existing position. Biased search, interpretation and memory have been invoked to explain attitude polarization (when a disagreement becomes more extreme even though the different parties are exposed to the same evidence), belief perseverance (when beliefs persist after the evidence for them is shown to be false), the irrational primacy effect (a greater reliance on information encountered early in a series) and illusory correlation (when people falsely perceive an association between two events or situations).

A series of experiments in the 1960s suggested that people are biased toward confirming their existing beliefs. Later work re-interpreted these results as a tendency to test ideas in a one-sided way, focusing on one possibility and ignoring alternatives. In certain situations, this tendency can bias people's conclusions. Explanations for the observed biases include wishful thinking and the limited human capacity to process information. Another explanation is that people show confirmation bias because they are weighing up the costs of being wrong








excerpt from my online journal as Kerry Burgess, February 15, 2017 2:48pm

Kerry Burgess updated his status.

Serial position effect

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Primacy effect

The primacy effect, in psychology and sociology, is a cognitive bias that results in a subject recalling primary information presented better than information presented later on.








https://hvom.blogspot.com/2019/09/delphi.html

Posted by Kerry Burgess at 11:03 AM

Tuesday, September 24, 2019

Religious scholars are experts only in circular reasoning.



- posted by Kerry Burgess 6:12 PM Pacific Time Spokane Valley Washington USA Friday 11/22/2019