This Is What I Think.
Thursday, October 02, 2014
The Blob
http://blogs.agu.org/wildwildscience/files/2014/09/80059_web.jpg
http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2014/09/minimum-temperature-heat-wave.html
Cliff Mass Weather Blog
Tuesday, September 30, 2014
Minimum Temperature Heat Wave
We had a few rainy days, but that is over now and the daytime temperatures will surge again, but with a different pattern: a major ridge of high pressure will form over the eastern Pacific. Here is the forecast for Sunday at 5 AM PDT from the European Center. Big ridge. But it will get wet along the BC coast and there is a chance of some light shower on Saturday before the ridge amplifies on Sunday.
Posted by Cliff Mass at 8:43 PM
http://blogs.agu.org/wildwildscience/2014/09/30/devil-climate-change-details/
AGU Blogosphere
30 September 2014
Posted by Dan Satterfield
The paper on California’s drought is by Noah Diffenbaugh (and others) and the press release by Stanford University about the paper is below:
PRESS RELEASE: The atmospheric conditions associated with the unprecedented drought currently afflicting California are “very likely” linked to human-caused climate change, Stanford scientists say.
In a new study, a team led by Stanford climate scientist Noah Diffenbaugh used a novel combination of computer simulations and statistical techniques to show that a persistent region of high atmospheric pressure hovering over the Pacific Ocean that diverted storms away from California was much more likely to form in the presence of modern greenhouse gas concentrations.
“Our research finds that extreme atmospheric high pressure in this region—which is strongly linked to unusually low precipitation in California—is much more likely to occur today than prior to the human emission of greenhouse gases that began during the Industrial Revolution in the 1800s,” said Diffenbaugh, associate professor of Environmental Earth System Science at Stanford and a senior fellow at the Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment.
Scientists agree that the immediate cause of the drought is a particularly stubborn “blocking ridge” over the northeastern Pacific –popularly known as the Ridiculously Resilient Ridge, or “Triple R”–that prevented winter storms from reaching California during the 2013 and 2014 rainy seasons.
Blocking ridges occur periodically at temperature latitudes, but the Triple R was exceptional for both its size and longevity. While it dissipated briefly during the summer months of 2013, it returned even stronger by fall 2013 and persisted through much of the winter, which is normally California’s “wet season.” “At its peak in January 2014, the Triple R extended from the subtropical Pacific between California and Hawaii to the coast of the Arctic Ocean north of Alaska,” said Swain, who coined the term “ridiculously resilient ridge” last fall to highlight the unusually persistent nature of the offshore blocking ridge.
An important question for scientists and decision-makers has been whether human-caused climate change has influenced the conditions responsible for California’s drought. Given the important role of the Triple R, Diffenbaugh’s team set out to measure the probability of such extreme ridging events. The team first assessed the rarity of the Triple R in the context of the 20th century historical record. They found that the combined persistence and intensity of the Triple R in 2013 was unrivaled by any event since 1948, which is when comprehensive information about the circulation of the atmosphere is first available.
To more directly address the question of whether climate change played a role in the probability of the 2013 event, the team collaborated with Bala Rajaratnam, assistant professor of Statistics and of Environmental Earth System Science, and an affiliated faculty of the Woods Institute for the Environment. Rajaratnam and his graduate students Michael Tsiang and Matz Haugen applied advanced statistical techniques to a large suite of climate model simulations. Using the Triple R as a benchmark, the group compared geopotential heights–an atmospheric property related to pressure– between two sets of climate model experiments. One set mirrored the present climate, in which the atmosphere is growing increasingly warm due to human emissions of carbon dioxide and other greenhouse gases. In the other set of experiments, greenhouse gases were kept at a level similar to those that existed just prior to the Industrial Revolution.
The interdisciplinary research team found that the extreme geopotential heights associated with the Triple R in 2013 were at least three times as likely to occur in the present climate as in the preindustrial climate. They also found that such extreme values are consistently tied to unusually low precipitation in California, and the formation of atmospheric ridges over the northeastern Pacific.
Diffenbaugh added. “This isn’t a projection of 100 years in the future. This is an event that is more extreme than any in the observed record, and our research suggests that global warming is playing a role right now.”
https://robertscribbler.wordpress.com/2014/10/01/2014-to-be-hottest-year-on-record-arctic-ocean-west-antarctic-heat-spikes-amidst-scorching-end-to-september/
robertscribbler
2014 To Be Hottest Year on Record? Arctic Ocean, West Antarctic Heat Spikes Amidst Scorching End to September
Strange and anomalous heating of the Earth’s surface waters. That’s what could best characterize the year of 2014. Waters warm enough to break world records and all arrayed in extraordinarily odd distributions.
https://robertscribbler.wordpress.com/2014/10/01/2014-to-be-hottest-year-on-record-arctic-ocean-west-antarctic-heat-spikes-amidst-scorching-end-to-september/
robertscribbler
2014 To Be Hottest Year on Record? Arctic Ocean, West Antarctic Heat Spikes Amidst Scorching End to September
Troubling Arctic Ocean Heat Spike
But perhaps the most troubling feature for September and, indeed, all of the summer of 2014 is a massive accumulation of far warmer than average surface ocean water in both the Northern Pacific and in the Arctic Ocean.
The Northern Pacific heat has occurred in conjunction with an anomalous 21 month long blocking pattern that has tended to fix in place a south to north flow pattern and far warmer than average land and ocean temperatures for the region. Sea surface temperatures in the range of 2-3 C above average for a swath from California to Alaska have remained in place for nearly two years running.
This feature and now prevailing associated south to north wind pattern appears to be driving warmer than normal waters through the Bering Strait and into the already vulnerable Arctic zone. There, the added warm water appears to have combined with the warming of a deeper, but sometimes surface influencing, warm water flow newly emerging from the Atlantic. These combined warm water flows have resulted in a broad swath of 4 C + above 1979 to 2000 average surface water temperatures ranging from the Bering Sea into the Chukchi, Beaufort, East Siberian, Laptev and Kara Seas of the Arctic Ocean.
During recent years featuring very low Arctic sea ice measures, August, September and October have displayed very strong positive sea surface temperature anomalies in the Arctic. These extraordinary sea surface temperature values have tended to push global temperature averages higher with a number of global heat records set despite the presence of La Nina or ENSO neutral conditions in the Pacific. A clear instance where human-driven polar heat amplification and heating of the northern polar ocean is beginning to have a measurable and substantial impact on global temperature variation as well as overall rate of warming.
In general, we find much of the global ocean heat spike clustered near the northern polar zone. This is clearly visible in the anomaly color display on the map above together with the +0.27 C of added heat in the Northern Hemisphere surface ocean vs the Southern Hemisphere Ocean measure.
A final feature of this enhanced Arctic warming — increased instances of microbial blooms in northern ocean surface waters — was plainly visible in the MODIS shot during late September as well. In this case a massive bloom covering a 550 by 100 mile swath of the Bering Sea just south of the Bering Strait:
In these instances, concurrent with human-caused warming, large regions of newly ice free water contain higher nutrient content than more southerly waters. As the human heat forcing spurs these waters to above average temperatures, ocean microbial activity becomes more prolific — since larger numbers of microbes thrive in warmer conditions. The result has been the appearance of very large blooms in far northern waters during recent years.
Within Striking Distance of a Record Hot Year — Serious Implications For Weather and Climate
Despite a Pacific El Nino that appears to be set on slow to low burn, if the event appears at all, it appears possible that 2014 may be setting up for a record breaking year. The factors driving this event include a continued if very mild Pacific Equatorial warming together with far more troubling heat amplification driven by human greenhouse gas warming at the poles. The most troubling of these regions continues to be the Arctic. And the added heat there will almost certainly increase stress on vulnerable carbon stores as well as potentially add to the human-spurred havoc now playing out in northern hemisphere and global weather systems.
http://www.springfieldspringfield.co.uk/view_episode_scripts.php?tv-show=legends-2014&episode=s01e08
Springfield! Springfield!
Legends
Iconoclast
Look, I think we both know that this doesn't smell right.
You need to understand the situation here.
Our people were on the case when the prince was killed.
We had advance warning and didn't stop it.
Writing's on the wall.
They're looking at us.
A State Department employee was involved.
Check today's classified briefing.
No one's ever gonna hear about Aaron Rawley's part in this.
DCO is not gonna take the fall.
Believe me, I sure as hell can't afford that kind of exposure.
You're the secret police in a country that doesn't have a secret police.
Look, I don't like getting grilled by some congressional hearing any more than you do.
But we're not gonna step aside, either.
We don't have much time.
I'll run cover, but I want you to find out who did this and do it fast.
Off book? No trace.
RICE: Keep going, keep going, keep going Okay, freeze it right there.
Stop.
She's clearly not doing anything.
Then why did her cell phone have software to pilot a drone? That's exactly my point.
From 1/17/1964 ( Michelle Obama ) To 12/14/2012 is 17864 days
From 11/2/1965 ( my birth date in Antlers Oklahoma USA and my birthdate as the known official Deputy United States Marshal Kerry Wayne Burgess and active duty United States Marine Corps officer ) To 9/30/2014 is 17864 days
From 8/26/1976 ( the first known human case of Ebola ) To 12/14/2012 is 13259 days
From 11/2/1965 ( my birth date in Antlers Oklahoma USA and my birthdate as the known official Deputy United States Marshal Kerry Wayne Burgess and active duty United States Marine Corps officer ) To 2/20/2002 ( premiere US film "Dexter" ) is 13259 days
From 8/3/1998 ( Tom Clancy "Rainbow Six" ) To 12/14/2012 is 5247 days
From 11/2/1965 ( my birth date in Antlers Oklahoma USA and my birthdate as the known official Deputy United States Marshal Kerry Wayne Burgess and active duty United States Marine Corps officer ) To 3/15/1980 ( premiere US TV series "Sanford" ) is 5247 days
From 6/22/1951 ( premiere US film "Savage Drums" ) To 8/3/1998 ( Tom Clancy "Rainbow Six" ) is 17209 days
From 11/2/1965 ( my birth date in Antlers Oklahoma USA and my birthdate as the known official Deputy United States Marshal Kerry Wayne Burgess and active duty United States Marine Corps officer ) To 12/14/2012 is 17209 days
From 6/22/1951 ( premiere US film "This Is America: They Fly with the Fleet" ) To 8/3/1998 ( Tom Clancy "Rainbow Six" ) is 17209 days
From 11/2/1965 ( my birth date in Antlers Oklahoma USA and my birthdate as the known official Deputy United States Marshal Kerry Wayne Burgess and active duty United States Marine Corps officer ) To 12/14/2012 is 17209 days
From 1/17/1991 ( the date of record of my United States Navy Medal of Honor as Kerry Wayne Burgess chief warrant officer United States Marine Corps circa 1991 also known as Matthew Kline for official duty and also known as Wayne Newman for official duty ) To 12/14/2012 is 8002 days
8002 = 4001 + 4001
From 11/2/1965 ( my birth date in Antlers Oklahoma USA and my birthdate as the known official Deputy United States Marshal Kerry Wayne Burgess and active duty United States Marine Corps officer ) To 10/16/1976 ( premiere US TV series "Most Wanted" ) is 4001 days
From 1/17/1991 ( RACKETEER INFLUENCED AND CORRUPT ORGANIZATIONS US Title 18 - the Persian Gulf War begins as scheduled severe criminal activity against the United States of America ) To 12/14/2012 is 8002 days
8002 = 4001 + 4001
From 11/2/1965 ( my birth date in Antlers Oklahoma USA and my birthdate as the known official Deputy United States Marshal Kerry Wayne Burgess and active duty United States Marine Corps officer ) To 10/16/1976 ( premiere US TV series "Most Wanted" ) is 4001 days
From 12/6/1943 ( premiere US film "In Old Oklahoma" ) To 1/17/1991 ( the date of record of my United States Navy Medal of Honor as Kerry Wayne Burgess chief warrant officer United States Marine Corps circa 1991 also known as Matthew Kline for official duty and also known as Wayne Newman for official duty ) is 17209 days
From 11/2/1965 ( my birth date in Antlers Oklahoma USA and my birthdate as the known official Deputy United States Marshal Kerry Wayne Burgess and active duty United States Marine Corps officer ) To 12/14/2012 is 17209 days
From 12/6/1943 ( premiere US film "In Old Oklahoma" ) To 1/17/1991 ( RACKETEER INFLUENCED AND CORRUPT ORGANIZATIONS US Title 18 - the Persian Gulf War begins as scheduled severe criminal activity against the United States of America ) is 17209 days
From 11/2/1965 ( my birth date in Antlers Oklahoma USA and my birthdate as the known official Deputy United States Marshal Kerry Wayne Burgess and active duty United States Marine Corps officer ) To 12/14/2012 is 17209 days
From 4/13/1943 ( premiere US film "Desert Victory" ) To 5/25/1990 ( premiere US film "Fire Birds" ) is 17209 days
From 11/2/1965 ( my birth date in Antlers Oklahoma USA and my birthdate as the known official Deputy United States Marshal Kerry Wayne Burgess and active duty United States Marine Corps officer ) To 12/14/2012 is 17209 days
From 10/7/1949 ( premiere US TV series "Man Against Crime" ) To 11/18/1996 ( premiere US film "Star Trek: First Contact" ) is 17209 days
From 11/2/1965 ( my birth date in Antlers Oklahoma USA and my birthdate as the known official Deputy United States Marshal Kerry Wayne Burgess and active duty United States Marine Corps officer ) To 12/14/2012 is 17209 days
From 4/11/1991 ( Gulf War ends ) To 12/14/2012 is 7918 days
7918 = 3959 + 3959
From 11/2/1965 ( my birth date in Antlers Oklahoma USA and my birthdate as the known official Deputy United States Marshal Kerry Wayne Burgess and active duty United States Marine Corps officer ) To 9/4/1976 ( George Walker Bush the purveyor of illegal drugs strictly for his personal profit including the trafficking of massive amounts of cocaine into the United States arrested again by police in the United States ) is 3959 days
[ See also: To Be Continued? ]
http://www.presidency.ucsb.edu/ws/index.php?pid=102750
The American Presidency Project
Barack Obama
XLIV President of the United States: 2009 - present
946 - Remarks on the Shootings in Newtown, Connecticut
December 14, 2012
This afternoon I spoke with Governor Malloy and FBI Director Mueller. I offered Governor Malloy my condolences on behalf of the Nation and made it clear he will have every single resource that he needs to investigate this heinous crime, care for the victims, counsel their families.
We've endured too many of these tragedies in the past few years. And each time I learn the news, I react not as a President, but as anybody else would: as a parent. And that was especially true today. I know there's not a parent in America who doesn't feel the same overwhelming grief that I do.
The majority of those who died today were children, beautiful little kids between the ages of 5 and 10 years old. They had their entire lives ahead of them: birthdays, graduations, weddings, kids of their own. Among the fallen were also teachers, men and women who devoted their lives to helping our children fulfill their dreams.
So our hearts are broken today, for the parents and grandparents, sisters and brothers of these little children and for the families of the adults who were lost. Our hearts are broken for the parents of the survivors as well, for as blessed as they are to have their children home tonight, they know that their children's innocence has been torn away from them too early and there are no words that will ease their pain.
As a country, we have been through this too many times. Whether it's an elementary school in Newtown or a shopping mall in Oregon or a temple in Wisconsin or a movie theater in Aurora or a street corner in Chicago, these neighborhoods are our neighborhoods, and these children are our children. And we're going to have to come together and take meaningful action to prevent more tragedies like this, regardless of the politics.
This evening Michelle and I will do what I know every parent in America will do, which is hug our children a little tighter, and we'll tell them that we love them, and we'll remind each other how deeply we love one another. But there are families in Connecticut who cannot do that tonight. And they need all of us right now. In the hard days to come, that community needs us to be at our best as Americans, and I will do everything in my power as President to help. Because while nothing can fill the space of a lost child or loved one, all of us can extend a hand to those in need, to remind them that we are there for them, that we are praying for them, that the love they felt for those they lost endures not just in their memories, but also in ours.
May God bless the memory of the victims and, in the words of Scripture, heal the brokenhearted and bind up their wounds.
NOTE: The President spoke at 3:15 p.m. in the James S. Brady Press Briefing Room at the White House.
http://www.kutv.com/news/features/national-news/stories/Man-with-Ebola-in-US-flew-part-of-trip-on-United-43264.shtml
KUTV 2
Man with Ebola in US flew part of trip on United
by: DAVID KOENIG, AP Airlines Writers updated: Thursday, October 2, 2014
In a statement issued Wednesday, the airline said it learned from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention that the patient said he flew on United Flight 951 from Brussels to Dulles Airport near Washington. He then flew Flight 822 from Dulles to Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport.
A Belgian official says the man flew from Liberia to Brussels on Brussels Airlines.
Health officials say there is no risk of infection among other passengers because the man, Thomas Eric Duncan, had no symptoms when he flew.
He sought medical care Sept. 24 in Dallas.
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0286587/releaseinfo
IMDb
Dexter (2002)
Release Info
USA 20 February 2002
http://www.imdb.com/title/tt0286587/plotsummary
IMDb
Dexter (2002)
Plot Summary
A 7-year-old leads the kids of a boarding school to a rebellion against the tyrannic and cruel teachers
http://www.e-reading.org.ua/bookreader.php/71211/Clancy_-_Rainbow_Six.html
Tom Clancy
Rainbow Six
CHAPTER 4
AAR
"You think you can do it?" another congresswoman this one from San Francisco-asked. Women of all sorts found themselves drawn to this man. Money, power, good looks, and good manners made it inevitable.
John Brightling smiled broadly. "Ask me in five years. We know the gene. We need to learn how to turn it off. There's a whole lot of basic science in there we have to uncover, and along the way we hope to discover a lot of very useful things. It's like setting off with Magellan. We aren't sure what we're going to find, but we know it'll all be interesting." No one pointed out that Magellan hadn't made it home from that particular trip.
"And profitable?" a new senator from Wyoming asked.
"That's how our society works, isn't it? We pay people for doing useful work. Is this area useful enough?"
"If you bring it off, I suppose it is." This senator was himself a physician, a family practitioner who knew the basics but was well over his head on the deep-scientific side. The concept, the objective of Horizon Corporation, was well beyond breathtaking, but he would not bet against them. They'd done too well developing cancer drugs and synthetic antibiotics, and were the leading private company in the Human Genome Project, a global effort to decode the basics of human life. Himself a genius, John Brightling had found it easy to attract others like himself to his company. He had more charisma than a hundred politicians, and unlike the latter, the senator had to admit to himself, he really had something to back up the showmanship. It had once been called "the right stuff'! or pilots. With his movie-star looks, ready smile, superb listening ability, and dazzlingly analytical mind, Dr. John Brightling had the knack. He could make anyone near him! gel interesting-and the bastard could teach, could apply his lessons to everyone nearby. Simple ones for the unschooled and highly sophisticated ones for the specialists in his field, at the top of which he reigned supreme. Oh, lie had a few peers. Pat Reily at Harvard-Mass General. Aaron Bernstein at Johns Hopkins. Jacques Elise at Pasteur. Maybe Paul Ging at U.C. Berkeley. But that was it. What a fine clinician Brightling might have made, the senator-M.D. thought, but, no, he was too good to be wasted on people with the latest version of the flu.
About the only thing in which he'd failed was his marriage. Well, Carol Brightling was also pretty smart, but more political than scientific, and perhaps her ego, capacious as everyone in this city knew it to be, had quailed before the greater intellectual gifts of her husband. Only room in town for one of us, the doctor from Wyoming thought, with an inner smile. That happened often enough in real life, not just on old movies. And Brightling, John, seemed to be doing better in that respect than Brightling, Carol. At the former's elbow was a very pretty redhead drinking in his every word, while the latter had come alone, and would be leaving alone for her apartment in Georgetown. Well, the senator-M.D. thought, that's life.
Immortality. Damn, all the pronghorns he might take, the doctor from Cody thought on, heading over to his wife. Dinner was about to start. The chicken had finished the vulcanization process. The Valium helped. It wasn't actually Valium, Killgore knew. That drug had become something of a generic name for mild sedatives, and this one had been developed by SmithKline, with a different trade name, with the added benefit that it made a good mix with alcohol. For street people who were often as contentious and territorial as junkyard dogs, this group of ten was remarkably sedate.
http://www.chakoteya.net/movies/movie8.html
Star Trek: First Contact
CRUSHER: Would you find out why it's so hot in here?
(the lighting and other systems glitch)
CRUSHER: Now what? Crusher to engineering. ...Crusher to bridge.
(there is a huge thud behind her)
[Enterprise-E bridge]
PICARD: Commander Worf. I need to know exactly what's been happening.
WORF: We have lost contact with deck sixteen. Communications, internal sensors, everything. I was about to send a security team to investigate.
PICARD: No! Seal off deck sixteen. Post security teams at every access point.
WORF: Aye sir.
PICARD: Mister Hawk, before we lost internal sensors what were the exact environmental conditions in main engineering?
HAWK: Atmospheric pressure was two kilopascals above normal, ninety-two percent humidity, thirty-nine point one degrees Celsius.
PICARD: Thirty-nine point one degrees Celsius. ...Like a Borg ship.
- posted by H.V.O.M - Kerry Wayne Burgess 1:57 PM Pacific Time Spokane Valley Washington USA Thursday 02 October 2014